Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?

$154K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
November 13$8K volume0123456789%-5 pp
PriceSharesTotal
November 30$12K volume01234567890123456789%-5 pp
December 31$134K volume01234567890123456789%+5 pp

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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“Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.