Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.2M volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31$199K volume0123456789%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers
“Insurrection Act invoked by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.