Next US Senate Minority Leader?

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

$12K volume·до Jan 3, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
John Thune$4K volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
John Barrasso$310 volume0123456789%-1 pp
Tom Cotton$190 volume0123456789%+1 pp
Chuck Schumer$5K volume01234567890123456789%-6 pp
Brian Schatz$322 volume0123456789%
Patty Murray$461 volume0123456789%
Cory Booker$570 volume0123456789%
Mark Kelly$444 volume0123456789%
Rick Scott$275 volume0123456789%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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“Next US Senate Minority Leader?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.