US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

$95K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31$41K volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.