How do I trade on “Which bills will become law in 2026?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

How will “Which bills will become law in 2026?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

When does “Which bills will become law in 2026?” close?

The expected close is до Jan 1, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Which bills will become law in 2026?”?

The current trading volume is $187K. It updates in real time.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$187K volume·до Jan 1, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

NO FAKES Act$785 volume01234567890123456789%+4 pp

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$2.50 Coin$697 volume0123456789%

DEFIANCE Act$966 volume0123456789%-4 pp

FISA Section 702 reauthorization$111K volume01234567890123456789%

Critical-minerals stockpile$2K volume0123456789%

SELF DRIVE Act$446 volume0123456789%

Smithsonian Women’s History Museum$4K volume0123456789%-1 pp

Film/TV production expensing$4K volume01234567890123456789%

Credit-card routing competition$1K volume01234567890123456789%

Export-control chip security$5K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp

AI-chip export licensing$6K volume01234567890123456789%

Data center utility cost protection$3K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

SHOWER Act$696 volume0123456789%-1 pp

Trump Airport$2K volume0123456789%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that establishes a federal intellectual property right protecting individuals' voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes S. 4591 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2026; its House companion H.R. 8915 (119th); and the 2025 versions S. 1367 (119th) and H.R. 2794 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2025. Legislation establishing such a right as a provision of a broader bill will also qualify.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4591), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Which bills will become law in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.