Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

$5K volume·до Jan 19, 2029
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Adam Telle$2K volume01234567890123456789%+3 pp
PriceSharesTotal
Brian Mast$334 volume0123456789%
Sean Parnell$616 volume01234567890123456789%-5 pp
Brent Ingraham$417 volume01234567890123456789%+14 pp
Charles Young III$122 volume01234567890123456789%+16 pp
W. Jordan Gillis$197 volume01234567890123456789%+5 pp
Marc Andersen$324 volume01234567890123456789%-14 pp
Michael Obadal$588 volume01234567890123456789%+24 pp

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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“Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.