Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$563K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
December 31, 2026$8K volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...? · Melbo