Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

$220K volume·до Apr 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
November 30, 2026$135K volume012345678901234567890123456789%Yes ✓
PriceSharesTotal
December 31, 2026$61K volume012345678901234567890123456789%Yes ✓
March 31, 2027$23K volume012345678901234567890123456789%Yes ✓

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

✓Market open for trading
✓Proposed outcome
✓Final review
Questions and answers

“Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? · Melbo