How do I trade on “French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place”?

The current trading volume is $21K. It updates in real time.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Q: How will “French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Q: When does “French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place” close?

The expected close is до Apr 18, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

$21K volume·до Apr 18, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Marine Le Pen$4K volume01234567890123456789%

PriceSharesTotal

Édouard Philippe$2K volume01234567890123456789%+4 pp

David Lisnard$1K volume0123456789%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$2K volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp

François Hollande$935 volume0123456789%

Gabriel Attal$827 volume0123456789%

Raphaël Glucksmann$3K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

Bruno Retailleau$1K volume0123456789%

Sarah Knafo$424 volume0123456789%

Dominique de Villepin$685 volume0123456789%

Christine Lagarde$796 volume0123456789%

Éric Zemmour$550 volume0123456789%

Jordan Bardella$756 volume0123456789%

Sébastien Lecornu$894 volume0123456789%

François Ruffin$614 volume0123456789%

Marine Tondelier$661 volume0123456789%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.