Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

$154.1M volume·до Apr 19, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Marine Le Pen$4.1M volume01234567890123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Jordan Bardella$2.8M volume0123456789%
Éric Zemmour$3.1M volume0123456789%
Édouard Philippe$2.4M volume01234567890123456789%
David Lisnard$5.1M volume01234567890123456789%
Xavier Bertrand$6.2M volume0123456789%
Laurent Wauquiez$3.7M volume0123456789%
François Ruffin$4.8M volume0123456789%
Gabriel Attal$3.1M volume0123456789%
Bruno Retailleau$3.0M volume0123456789%
François Hollande$2.6M volume0123456789%
Raphaël Glucksmann$2.9M volume0123456789%-1 pp
Jean-Luc Mélenchon$2.4M volume01234567890123456789%
Marine Tondelier$4.6M volume0123456789%
Fabien Roussel$4.3M volume0123456789%
Olivier Faure$6.4M volume0123456789%
Dominique de Villepin$2.7M volume0123456789%
Ségolène Royal$7.0M volume0123456789%
François Asselineau$6.3M volume0123456789%
Clémentine Autain$5.0M volume0123456789%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$4.9M volume0123456789%
Michel Barnier$5.3M volume0123456789%
Valérie Pécresse$4.1M volume0123456789%
François Bayrou$5.9M volume0123456789%
Élisabeth Borne$5.5M volume0123456789%
Yaël Braun-Pivet$5.8M volume0123456789%
Jean Castex$2.0M volume0123456789%
Gérald Darmanin$2.1M volume0123456789%
Carole Delga$4.7M volume0123456789%
Bernard Cazeneuve$2.4M volume0123456789%
Manuel Bompard$5.2M volume0123456789%
Mathilde Panot$6.4M volume0123456789%
Sarah Knafo$2.7M volume0123456789%
Juan Branco$2.4M volume0123456789%
Clémence Guetté$4.2M volume0123456789%
Sébastien Lecornu$2.3M volume0123456789%
Karim Bouamrane$1.3M volume0123456789%
Lucie Castets$424K volume0123456789%
Yannick Jadot$750K volume0123456789%
François Baroin$1.4M volume0123456789%
Marion Maréchal$502K volume0123456789%
Christine Lagarde$1.1M volume0123456789%
Natacha Polony$46K volume0123456789%
Anasse Kazib$50 volume0123456789%
Sylvain Durif$50 volume0123456789%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Next French Presidential Election” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.