Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$18K volume·до Mar 1, 2027
OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE
Yariv Levin$170 volume0123456789%
PriceSharesTotal
Aryeh Deri$349 volume01234567890123456789%+9 pp
Moshe Arbel$929 volume0123456789%
Ayelet Shaked$629 volume0123456789%
Israel Katz$2K volume0123456789%+2 pp
Eli Cohen$141 volume0123456789%
Miri Regev$908 volume0123456789%
Avigdor Lieberman$153 volume0123456789%
Yair Golan$104 volume0123456789%
Orit Farkash-Hacohen$247 volume0123456789%-5 pp
Keren Terner Eyal$183 volume0123456789%+1 pp
Meirav Cohen$98 volume0123456789%
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)$230 volume0123456789%+2 pp
Michael Malchieli$2K volume0123456789%
Yoav Ben-Tzur$2K volume01234567890123456789%-7 pp
Oded Forer$98 volume0123456789%
Yoram Cohen$78 volume0123456789%
No Next Minister by Feb 28$7K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.

To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.

The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.

If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

✓Market open for trading
Proposed outcome
Final review
Questions and answers

“Next Israeli Minister of Interior?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior? · Melbo