Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?

Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?

$8K volume·до Apr 1, 2027
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December 31, 2026$5K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp
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March 31, 2027$3K volume01234567890123456789%+8 pp

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bogdan Święczkowski is reinstated as President of the Constitutional Tribunal of Poland by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If Bogdan Święczkowski is otherwise permanently removed from office, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify as reinstated, Święczkowski must officially regain his powers as President of the Constitutional Tribunal and no longer be suspended from office.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Government of Poland, specifically the Constitutional Tribunal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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“Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.