How do I trade on “Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?”?

Choose an outcome, enter an amount and confirm the trade. A share’s price is the market’s implied probability; the minimum trade is $1. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement.

What is the trading volume of “Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?”?

The current trading volume is $75K. It updates in real time.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Q: How will “Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?” be resolved?

The market settles by the actual outcome of the event: shares of the correct outcome pay $1 each. The exact criteria are in the market rules above.

Q: When does “Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?” close?

The expected close is до Jun 30, 2027. You can close your position at any time before settlement.

$75K volume·до Jun 30, 2027

OUTCOMESPROBABILITY · PRICE

Likud$9K volume01234567890123456789%-2 pp

PriceSharesTotal

Shas$1K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

United Torah Judaism$2K volume01234567890123456789%+2 pp

RZP-Zehut$3K volume01234567890123456789%

Otzma Yehudit$3K volume01234567890123456789%-8 pp

Together$1K volume01234567890123456789%-1 pp

Blue and White$495 volume0123456789%

Yisrael Beiteinu$1K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

The Democrats$3K volume01234567890123456789%-3 pp

Yashar$10K volume01234567890123456789%+1 pp

New Economic Party / The Reservists$2K volume01234567890123456789%

Ra'am$22K volume01234567890123456789%

Joint List$4K volume0123456789%

Noam$9K volume0123456789%

Amcha Yisrael$3K volume01234567890123456789%

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

✓Market open for trading

Proposed outcome

Final review

Questions and answers

“Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.