Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$419K volume·до Oct 20, 2026
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Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$419K volume0123456789%+3 pp
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.