Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$449K volume·до Jan 1, 2027
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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$449K volume0123456789%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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“Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?” is a prediction market on Melbo. A share’s price reflects the probability of the outcome: on the correct outcome each share settles at $1, on the wrong one at $0.